Nikon has ever released planning strictly confidential, but based on past experience, our expectations for 2009. Note the slowing economy and a drop in sales could slow Nikon release schedule, but they are also in a battle for market share to Canon, the pressure on them in the other direction (the 50D has not only put the world on fire, but the 5D Mark II is still a lot of attention):
Bodies Pro:
DSLR
Nikon D3
The D3 isturn 2 years before the end of the year, but it is still the king of low light (and on the basis of past experience is usually 3-4 years between the most important updates for the body). Street prices for Q3 have fallen to the $ 4k, so Nikon has to do something about the price again to get the $ 5k mark, and there is room for improvement in the D3. We expect a D3h (or perhaps D3s) published a D3 with the following features:
The update of the buffer to 2 GB, which currently is obtainedThe D3 is standard. The most recent, improved the D3x EXPEED processor, a small improvement in IQ and slightly extend the already impressive battery life performance. detect, since the D3 is primarily a tool for photographers capture video (1080p), it would be extremely useful in the field, but the hardware video encoding and microphones, so it may be delayed up to D4. It 's a great advantage for a certain segment of the professional market, if Nikon can bepaste it into modernization. If the video is included, it can also bring a slight improvement in sensor (such as when the D90 was launched on the sensor D300) Miscellaneous. small features / tweaks. Priced at $ 5k, maybe $ 5.5k if a video contains.
Nikon D3x
Unlike versions of the firmware, we expect this camera to remain unchanged, albeit with a steady drop in prices during the year.
Prosumer Bodies:
Nikon D400
The D300 after hitting his second birthdayEnd of 2009, before his second birthday, we expect the D400 will be published. We expect the following:
Slight increase in megapixels - 14MP with the same or maybe slightly better than the D300 ISO capabilities. Dynamic Best of the D300 (because the D90 has been shown to do better, another year of development of the sensor in the equation). The video is a must, probably 1080p. What we want: to be compatible with the MB-D10 and a larger buffer please put- This is the Nikon DSLR of choice for most business phone users, the larger buffer would be really useful. price must be less than $ 2k.
Nikon D800 D700x/Nikon
Based on recent history, is back to his sensors Nikon higher end to the first point, then, it seems that the sensor for the body somewhere a higher level of about 9 months later, give or take a couple of months. This would mean that D3x sensor in a D700-style body (D700x or D800) appears sometime during the summer2009th There is also strong pressure from Sony (the A900) and Canon (with the 5D Mark II) in the center of the area full-frame, a competitive product on the market here would have a very strong attraction. However, this introduces some simple questions:
The D3x is little more than a D3 with a new sensor, even at current street prices, which costs almost $ 4k more, a lot of awards for a sensor. Using the same logic to the new camera when they were pricedsimilar to the margin above the D700, it would put about 6k, which severely limit their market and would not be in the same market space as Canon and Sony offer. Realistically, a competitor, the camera should not be a price well beyond the Canon and Sony - somewhere in the range of $ 3,000 to $ 3,500. If their price to $ 4k, then you lose most of the potential market. If their price equal to or less than $ 4K, which is really taking the D3x (the holding time and extendedBattery life in the studio?) To add video or add video. To win in competition with Canon's market share, they need to add video. But when the video that the D3x will be taken with a price premium to add even more difficult.
It is difficult for a Nikon, there is a clear need for a cheaper version of the D3x, they have to protect their market share in the face of the 5D Mark II and A900, but the decision at the right price, the biggest challenge . Our hypothesis is that we will see the D3x sensorTowards the middle of something.
Consumer models:
Nikon D40 replacement
We expect this in the spring of 2009, probably with the 10.2MP sensor D200/D80/D60 lines.
Nikon D60 replacement
A replacement for the Nikon D60 may be possible towards the end of 2009, with the sensor on the D90, even with the video.
Nikon D90 Update
Nikon D90 is an upgrade in the second half of the year, it is possible - perhaps called D90S,basically the same camera but with a vastly improved video feature set (auto-focus, better monitoring of exposure, maybe even 1080p). This would also pave the way for a D60 with 720p video.
Objectives:
This is difficult to predict, but:
70-200 f2.8 VR Update
This lens provided on DX cameras, but users have reported problems of edge softness on FX. Nikon zoom pro typically every six years or so, so this target is updateddue. The D3x and push out the boundaries further representations of lenses can be used as the D3, it's always a new version of this lens is even more important.
Updated 85 f1.4 AF-S
A logical choice for the next in view of the 50mm F1.4 AF-S, which has just been updated to be published.
Updated with 80-400mm AF-S
This lens is extremely versatile in a price category in which they appeal to D90 and D60 also the owner, plus it has a good reputation as a slowfocus, would be a good candidate.
With economy slow, updating the objectives are not so obscure that way makes it less profitable than it has in previous years. Nikon is expected to choose the lenses that help to sell (a) in larger amounts, once the design or adaptation costs faster, or (b) to support sales of the D3x or other essential services. If you are charging $ 8k for the body, the better the lens back to them.
Overall, the economy is given, we would expectfewer lenses in 2009 published a 2008 view, but their development suggest Nikon body the right way to keep competitive reasons. Will occur during the year, as we do.
Nikon DSLR forecasts for 2009High Definition Television (HDTV) 711ME http://www.pongsak.cz.cc
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